Nitty Gritty : The Top Plays for week 16 NFL DFS

tie pix2 (1)Nitty Gritty

By Chris Lauer

I hate weeks where the NFL games are split up into several different sections.

While I do enjoy the fact that it is somewhat easier to predict the higher scoring players from a smaller player pool, I just can’t stand the limitations.

This week, prior to registering for any games I thought I had the perfect plan for a GPP guarantee!

However, as I attempted to construct this super secret, highly classified, super team; I was saddened to see I couldn’t make that plan due to game splits.

I know this article comes out a little late in the week, but I want to be able  to provide the best possible, most current, info so that you can build a GPP winner ! So without further intro, here is the meat and potatoes of the article! Thanks again for reading! :

Top QB Play : Drew Brees $9100 ; Proj 25.6+

Drew is always a potential stud, so you guys probably didn’t need me to tell you that. However I think there are some factors that make Drew more exciting than normal. First of all, Drew is the cheapest he has been in the last three weeks. I know $9100 is not ‘cheap’ and is generally more than I like to spend on a QB, however there are some good value plays this week that may allow you to put Drew in.

Atlanta is the worst ranked defense in the league as far as overall yards allowed. They are worst at defending the pass, and are 20th against the rush. It is a home game for Drew, and I think he has that inner fire that ignites in front of your home fans  in the playoff hunt.  Despite an atrocious record, this week the Saints have the potential for five or more touchdowns . Atlanta over the season is giving up the 13th most fantasy points to opposing QB’s, and the 2nd most over the last two weeks(Std. Scoring).

2nd QB Option: Matt Stafford $8200 ; Proj  23+

I really like Stafford this week as well. He is a passing stud, moncler arriette aspen and is also in a heated playoff race. What gave Drew the edge, is I think there is a possibility that the Lions destroy Chicago, and Stafford doesn’t have to play the entire game. If that is the case, they will not have to throw a ton to win this game either. Whereas, I do see Matt Ryan and the Falcons playing well and that game being a shootout! Good choice either way!

Top RB Play: Tre Mason $6500 ; Proj 14+

Some of my loyal readers, (whom I extremely appreciate and would run through a  brick wall for you guys! Thanks again!) already know this was coming because they read my other articles, Xstream Value and Guaranteed To Win!  Tre is one of my favorite running backs in a game where running backs aren’t what they used to be!

I think Mason has shown in his rookie year that he will be a force to be reckoned with. Mason has seen seventeen passing targets since week ten  and on the ones he caught, averaged over eleven yards a reception. For a rookie who has not had a stud at quarterback, or the most skilled offense, that is good in my opinion. I like the guy. He has contributed several times to me cashing in GPP tournaments and other DFS games.

Besides what some may call my ‘Fantasy Football Man Crush’ on Tre Mason, there are several great reasons why you should want him in your line up. The first being he has a good matchup and is going to put up good numbers., My projections show him over fourteen fantasy points this week. The Giants are allowing over 24 points a game, and I think Tre may account for at least 12 or more of those points, and  with rushing yards, and a few catches thrown in, he may get you close to the goal of at least twenty points out of a GPP position player.

 

Top WR Play: Lots!

I will apologize now but there are so many recievers I want to write about, but am not going to single one out. Some may say this is an easy way out, and yeah it kind of is! monster beats vs urbeats speaker Still, with GPP’s part of the strategy is variance and constructing a high scoring line up, that not everyone else will have. Still never sacrifice obvious talent, and or great match ups for variance!

Falcons – I have already stated I see this as a high scoring heated game between two really good quarterbacks who have something to play for in week 16. Pay close attention to the injury reports, and game time but I like all the guys. If Roddy White or Julio Jones doesn’t play, I think that move Douglas into top 15 territory and potentially gives Devin Hester a shot as well.

Saints – Drew is never partial to one guy, so it can sometimes put a finger on who the guy will be that week ( similar to NE) but if you get the call right it tends to pay off. Marques Colston and Kenny Stills should be on your radar. Also, I think Pierre Thomas may be a sneaky RB2 play as he is known to catch some passes and get some YAC!

 Eagles– Sanchez has proven he can play as an NFL quarterback, when facing the second tier of NFL competition. No offense to Jay Gruden, but that team is second tier competition this year. Their defense is giving up the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, and third most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. I think this week is the week Jordan Matthews gets back on track. He is the Eagles most targeted player in the red zone and should find it this week.

I also see Jeremy Maclin as a starter this week. I even have a few GPP’s where I have the trio of Sanchez, Matthews, and Maclin. The Washington Football Club is decent against the run, but in Saturday only games, you still have to consider LeSean McCoy based purely on what else is available. I would recommend Polk, but since you can only have four players from a single team, I wouldn’t be willing to give up any other players for him.

If you got a chance to read Guaranteed To Win!, you know I am recommending any of the Green Bay Packer’s stud players.  I would also strongly recommend you guys take a look at Paul Roberson’s Week 16 NFL Board! He has a list of the best receiver plays this week, their scoring projections, their matchups, and their salaries. It couldn’t be more convenient.

Top TE Plays(s): The Usual Suspects!

This week is a pretty straightforward week for the tight end position. I am not recommending getting crazy, monster beats deal detox pro stick to your studs. Most of them have good matchups this week.  Gronk, Graham, need I say more ?

My Preferred TE: Dwayne Allen $5400 Proj : 14+

Dwayne Allen is a guy I really like! I can’t believe where he was drafted in season long leagues given the scarcity of depth at the tight end position. There are only four games that Dwayne played this year where he did not get into the end zone. Luck looks for him in the red zone, and Dallas is giving up the third most fantasy points to opposing tight ends(Std. Scoring).

If you need a  super value TE play, and are ok with the boom or bust aspect;

I also think that Eric Ebron may be on the verge of having himself a breakout game against Chicago.

I smell a big TE kind of game out of a New England as well playing versus the Jets. I even thinks think this may be a Tim Wrighty-Almighty game! When those happens he usually hits the end zone, and has found it twice on one occasion earlier this year.

The Jets are giving up the fourth most points to opposing tight ends.

 

Top Defensive Plays:

St Louis Rams, Seattle Seahawks, Buffalo Bills, Detroit Lions, San Diego Chargers, Green Bay Packers, &  San Francisco 49’ers.

You know the drill, find the better defenses, against the worst offenses, and then find the one that best fits your value range for this position. You can also check out my other articles this week for more on defenses for week 16.

 

I wish you all an incredible amount of luck this weekend! Thank you all for taking time out of your busy lives to read my DFS and NFL related articles.

I hope that my analysis leads you to a big money GPP win this week, and if it does please let me know.

Please follow me on Twitter @Clauerr808 to get links to all my DFS weekly articles, as well as updates on any last minute changes, and please feel free to reach out to me with your DFS or general sports questions!

Thanks again and Happy Holidays!

Christopher Lauer
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Christopher Lauer

My Name is Chris and I am a life long Coloradan!

I am a huge Packers Fan and have been since the first Christmas I can remember. I opened a large bright red wrapped box that contained a cheese head from my family in Wisconsin.

It also contained a Brett Favre rookie card plaque, and since then its been #GOPACKGO! I love the Denver Nuggets ! I am an avid Fantasy Sports enthusiast, and am looking forward to one day making a career change from human resources, into Sports Writing.

Thanks for listening, follow me on Twitter for weekly DFS advice, and other semi related articles. @clauerr808
Christopher Lauer
Follow Me
Christopher Lauer About Christopher Lauer

My Name is Chris and I am a life long Coloradan! I am a huge Packers Fan and have been since the first Christmas I can remember. I opened a large bright red wrapped box that contained a cheese head from my family in Wisconsin. It also contained a Brett Favre rookie card plaque, and since then its been #GOPACKGO! I love the Denver Nuggets ! I am an avid Fantasy Sports enthusiast, and am looking forward to one day making a career change from human resources, into Sports Writing . Thanks for listening, follow me on Twitter for weekly DFS advice, and other semi related articles. @clauerr808

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