NBA DFS December 22nd 2014

tie pix2 (1)Trial and Error: The NBA experience:

By Chris Lauer

 

Trial and Error

Many of us are currently working our way into the unfamiliar territory of the NBA DFS land! I am very excited, yet nervous.

I want to do well in this, I like to succeed period. Generally I believe success takes hard work, learning, and practice. I have been playing NBA DFS games on occasion and I have even had a few small GPP Cashes.

However most of my entries have been losers. Being used to NFL I was quite disappointed to see that almost three hundred points, may not cash you a GPP. I started using line ups from a great site that e mails out NBA line ups. I started making variations of those line ups, and had some minor successes.

I feel confident enough now to start doing my own research, and will relay this to the best of my ability to you all. Again, this is a learning process, and I wouldn’t recommend spending your whole bank roll on tonight using this info, but you can be assured I am giving it a try, and will honestly relay the results.

Step One: 50 / 50 ‘s & minimal GPP:

Again it is easier to cash these tournaments and generally have a lower score to reach the ‘pay-out zone’. Stick to these, and if you must only do a few GPP’s.

Step two : Game Time Decisions

This is not the NFL and guys tend to miss more games. I do not question their toughness, I am just suggesting that you pay close attention in the hour before game time. I have found that Rotowire.com has a Daily Line ups section, that has probable line ups for the game, as well as it turns green once confirmed.

Step Three: Normal research 

Here I like to start with over / unders. This is one principle that relays pretty straightforward from NFL DFS, Higher scoring games tend to have higher scoring players. Also, look at who the ‘studs’ are. While I am not familiar with NBA DFS, I have been a big basketball fan for years! Watching basketball, and looking at normal player stats can tell you who these guys are if you do not know.

Defense vs. Position

In NFL this is one of the stats I take pretty seriously as a season average and recently. Again, in professional sports anything can happen, and it is very hard to confidently predict anything! What we try to do as DFS’ers is bet on what is most likely to happen. Is it more likely the team that has been allowing  point guards to score a lot of points this year, is all of a sudden going to shut out Damian Lillard? Probably not!

( Lillard is averaging 28 points/6.5 Ast/1.75 St a game over the last four games, I like him a lot)

So here is what I did for Monday December 22nd: Defense vs. Position for tonights matchups, according to Hoopstats.com. This is paired with my personal player suggestions from the other team, ugg outlet geelong gilroy based on this and performance etc. I noticed several of these guys are game time decisions so again PLEASE check prior to start of contest to make sure!

Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls – O/U -201 – CHI-4.5

Toronto: 11th vs SF; 17th vs. PF; 10th vs. SG; 15th vs. C; 6th vs. PG

TR Players – SF J Johnson, C Valanciunas, PG K. Lowry

Chicago: 29th vs. SF; 2nd vs. PF; 2nd vs. SG; 23rd vs. C; 18th vs. PG

CB Players – PF P. Gasol J. Noah

 

Atlanta Hawks @ Dallas Mavericks – O/U -209 DAL-4

Hawks: 12th vs. SG; 15th vs. SF; 5th vs. PG; 9th vs. PF; 10th  vs. C

AH Players -PF- P. Millsap, DAL vs. PG ranks are pre Rondo, beware!

Mavericks: 9th vs. SG; 4th vs. SF; 20th vs. PG; 10th vs. PF; 1st vs. C

DM Players – SF C. Parsons, SG M. Ellis, C T. Chandler

 

Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs – O/U -201.5 LAC-1

Clips: 8th vs. SG; 27th vs. SF; 3rd vs. PG; moncler outlet polo 8th vs. PF; 8th vs. C

CP Players – PG. C. Paul, PF B. Griffin,

Spurs: 3rd vs. SG; 7th vs. SF; 11th vs. PG; 26th vs. PF; 3rd vs. C

SA Players – SF K. Anderson

 

Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors O/U -210 GSW-11.5

Kings: 25th vs. SG; 2nd vs. SF; 19th vs. PG; 28th vs. PF; 4th vs. C

SK Players : C D. Cousins(stud), SF R. Gay

Warriors: 7th vs. SG; 13th vs. SG; 1st vs. PG; 5th vs. PF; 6th vs. C

GS Players – SG K Thompson, PG S. Curry, PF D. Green

 

Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies O/U -194.5 MEM-9

Jazz: 5th vs. C; 5th vs. SF; 30th vs. SG; 20th vs. PF; 26th vs. PG

UJ Players- SF G. Hayward, SG A. Burks

Grizzlies: 2nd vs. C; 22nd vs. michael kors c 1001 c 1005 SF; 19th vs. SG; 4th vs. PF; 9th vs. PG

MG Players-  PG M. Conley, PF J. Leuer (Z Bo is most likely out, so this may  be a good value play), SG C. Lee

 

Portland TrailBlazers @ Houston Rockets O/U -199 HOU-3.5

Blazers: 12th vs. C; 19th vs. SF; 17th vs. SG; 3rd vs. PF; 2nd vs. PG

PB Players- C C. Kaman, C J. Freeland, SF N. Batum, PF L. Aldridge , PG Damian Lillard

– Aldridge GTD due to illness, may play but is Jordan-esque?

Rockets: 22nd vs. C; 18th vs. SF; 1st vs. SG; 22nd vs. PF; 16th vs. PG

HR Players- SG J. Harden (GTD, check close to game), SF T. Ariza, C D. Howard

 

I will not always be able to go into this kind of depth, but I will try to get as much info as I can out to you guys as often as possible. Hopefully we will learn this together, and before long we can make some NBA DFS Cash!

Thanks again for reading, you guys rock! Good Luck!

Follow me @Clauerr808 for great Sports info and articles!

Christopher Lauer
Follow Me

Christopher Lauer

My Name is Chris and I am a life long Coloradan!

I am a huge Packers Fan and have been since the first Christmas I can remember. I opened a large bright red wrapped box that contained a cheese head from my family in Wisconsin.

It also contained a Brett Favre rookie card plaque, and since then its been #GOPACKGO! I love the Denver Nuggets ! I am an avid Fantasy Sports enthusiast, and am looking forward to one day making a career change from human resources, into Sports Writing.

Thanks for listening, follow me on Twitter for weekly DFS advice, and other semi related articles. @clauerr808
Christopher Lauer
Follow Me
Christopher Lauer About Christopher Lauer

My Name is Chris and I am a life long Coloradan! I am a huge Packers Fan and have been since the first Christmas I can remember. I opened a large bright red wrapped box that contained a cheese head from my family in Wisconsin. It also contained a Brett Favre rookie card plaque, and since then its been #GOPACKGO! I love the Denver Nuggets ! I am an avid Fantasy Sports enthusiast, and am looking forward to one day making a career change from human resources, into Sports Writing . Thanks for listening, follow me on Twitter for weekly DFS advice, and other semi related articles. @clauerr808

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